Pre-tourney Rankings
The Citadel
Southern
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#323
Expected Predictive Rating-9.4#297
Pace105.3#1
Improvement-1.6#252

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#231
First Shot-1.7#232
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#236
Layup/Dunks-2.7#287
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#292
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#33
Freethrows-1.8#296
Improvement-2.7#292

Defense
Total Defense-9.0#347
First Shot-7.6#344
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#299
Layups/Dunks-8.9#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#91
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#43
Freethrows-2.9#333
Improvement+1.1#112
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 31   @ Butler L 71-144 2%     0 - 1 -57.7 -17.0 -20.0
  Nov 17, 2015 283   Stetson W 94-93 48%     1 - 1 -9.9 +2.0 -12.0
  Nov 21, 2015 318   @ Presbyterian L 79-95 37%     1 - 2 -23.9 -9.8 -11.2
  Nov 25, 2015 216   Georgia Southern W 95-90 22%     2 - 2 +1.6 +3.4 -2.7
  Nov 28, 2015 321   @ South Carolina Upstate W 88-81 38%     3 - 2 -1.3 +1.4 -3.4
  Dec 02, 2015 237   @ Air Force L 93-97 18%     3 - 3 -5.7 +5.1 -10.1
  Dec 05, 2015 124   College of Charleston L 74-82 15%     3 - 4 -8.1 -1.7 -5.5
  Dec 16, 2015 312   @ Bethune-Cookman W 99-87 34%     4 - 4 +4.8 +3.3 -0.9
  Dec 19, 2015 296   @ Campbell L 82-101 30%     4 - 5 -25.0 -10.0 -11.6
  Dec 29, 2015 195   @ Charlotte L 93-111 13%     4 - 6 -17.2 -2.8 -10.2
  Jan 02, 2016 106   Chattanooga L 78-84 11%     4 - 7 0 - 1 -4.3 +0.2 -4.0
  Jan 05, 2016 224   @ Samford L 74-94 16%     4 - 8 0 - 2 -20.8 -13.8 -3.1
  Jan 09, 2016 190   Mercer L 80-91 26%     4 - 9 0 - 3 -15.7 +0.3 -15.6
  Jan 14, 2016 187   Wofford L 83-86 25%     4 - 10 0 - 4 -7.4 -2.6 -4.5
  Jan 16, 2016 168   Furman W 89-86 22%     5 - 10 1 - 4 -0.4 +1.2 -2.0
  Jan 21, 2016 194   @ Western Carolina W 92-91 13%     6 - 10 2 - 4 +1.9 +1.0 +0.6
  Jan 23, 2016 155   @ East Tennessee St. L 92-101 OT 9%     6 - 11 2 - 5 -5.4 -4.9 +1.8
  Jan 28, 2016 210   UNC Greensboro L 95-102 30%     6 - 12 2 - 6 -13.1 +1.5 -13.3
  Jan 30, 2016 304   VMI W 78-75 53%     7 - 12 3 - 6 -9.3 -11.4 +1.7
  Feb 01, 2016 106   @ Chattanooga L 85-125 5%     7 - 13 3 - 7 -32.5 -1.0 -23.1
  Feb 06, 2016 190   @ Mercer L 72-88 12%     7 - 14 3 - 8 -14.9 -15.7 +3.8
  Feb 08, 2016 224   Samford L 86-95 32%     7 - 15 3 - 9 -15.6 +4.6 -19.7
  Feb 11, 2016 168   @ Furman L 75-95 10%     7 - 16 3 - 10 -17.6 -9.0 -5.4
  Feb 13, 2016 187   @ Wofford L 89-99 12%     7 - 17 3 - 11 -8.6 +1.7 -8.8
  Feb 18, 2016 155   East Tennessee St. L 51-67 19%     7 - 18 3 - 12 -18.2 -32.3 +16.4
  Feb 20, 2016 194   Western Carolina L 97-102 27%     7 - 19 3 - 13 -10.0 +6.8 -15.9
  Feb 25, 2016 210   @ UNC Greensboro L 63-92 15%     7 - 20 3 - 14 -29.2 -19.1 -6.4
  Feb 27, 2016 304   @ VMI L 95-111 31%     7 - 21 3 - 15 -22.4 +5.1 -25.2
  Mar 04, 2016 190   Mercer L 69-71 18%     7 - 22 -3.8 -1.3 -2.7
Projected Record 7.0 - 22.0 3.0 - 15.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%